Housing Data Exceeds Expectations

Provided by Mortgage Market News
Housing Data Exceeds Expectations

Strong manufacturing and housing sector data contributed to a rally in the stock market this week. This would ordinarily push mortgage rates higher, but the strong economic news was offset by tame PPI inflation data and a significant increase in Fed purchases of mortgage-backed securities (MBS), leading to a mild decline in mortgage rates during the week.

The national housing market data released this week was positive. July Existing Home Sales rose 7% from June, to the highest level since August 2007, and were 5% higher than one year ago. This marked the fourth straight monthly increase. Taking advantage of the $8,000 tax credit, first-time homebuyers accounted for 30% of all transactions. Inventories of unsold homes held steady from June at a 9.4-month supply.

In addition, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market index rose to the highest level since June 2008, indicating an improvement in home builder confidence. The NAHB also reported that housing affordability during the second quarter of 2009 remained near record levels. The improvement in home builder confidence was reflected in a fifth consecutive month of increased single-family housing starts in July. High affordability, low interest rates, and the first-time homebuyer tax credit combined to improve sentiment and stimulate housing market activity.